Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.066117 0.078594 0.092607 0.109487 0.129243 0.151608 0.178823
2025-03-09 0.046382 0.062166 0.081941 0.108429 0.142864 0.185985 0.243937
2025-03-16 0.034837 0.051324 0.073825 0.106547 0.152647 0.214959 0.305185
2025-03-23 0.028637 0.045628 0.070512 0.109213 0.167405 0.251034 0.379542
2025-03-30 0.023346 0.039885 0.065663 0.108196 0.175884 0.278468 0.444375
2025-04-06 0.019071 0.034731 0.060565 0.105533 0.180849 0.300545 0.503139
2025-04-13 0.015614 0.030183 0.055526 0.101879 0.183251 0.318312 0.556582
2025-04-20 0.013728 0.028008 0.054058 0.103864 0.195032 0.352285 0.640024
2025-04-27 0.012017 0.025813 0.052142 0.104635 0.204579 0.383289 0.721617
2025-05-04 0.010563 0.023831 0.050267 0.105107 0.213465 0.413882 0.805584
2025-05-11 0.009446 0.022328 0.049059 0.106619 0.224371 0.449131 0.901607
2025-05-18 0.008687 0.021449 0.048955 0.110278 0.239831 0.494415 1.021080
2025-05-25 0.007395 0.019156 0.045578 0.106756 0.240596 0.512000 1.090179
2025-06-01 0.006555 0.017766 0.043959 0.106796 0.248822 0.545371 1.194547
2025-06-08 0.005723 0.016229 0.041746 0.105148 0.253134 0.571131 1.286058
2025-06-15 0.005261 0.015548 0.041430 0.107823 0.267352 0.619127 1.429138
2025-06-22 0.004659 0.014366 0.039696 0.106826 0.272980 0.649129 1.536547
2025-06-29 0.004060 0.013067 0.037445 0.104197 0.274367 0.669809 1.625456
2025-07-06 0.003501 0.011766 0.034964 0.100587 0.272855 0.683653 1.700248
2025-07-13 0.003233 0.011283 0.034621 0.102548 0.285499 0.731718 1.859004
2025-07-20 0.002948 0.010693 0.033877 0.103310 0.295155 0.773659 2.007484
2025-07-27 0.002685 0.010114 0.033070 0.103776 0.304087 0.814752 2.158013
2025-08-03 0.002480 0.009686 0.032643 0.105270 0.315980 0.864419 2.334537